Emmys Predictions Via The Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s First Read of 26 Categories

The Hollywood Reporter's executive editor of awards coverage dissects contenders for drama series, comedy series, limited/anthology series, TV movie, variety and documentary/nonfiction awards.

*A FEW THINGS TO NOTE BEFORE READING*

(1) This forecast, assembled by The Hollywood Reporter’s executive editor of awards coverage Scott Feinberg, reflects Scott’s best attempt to predict the behavior of the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences, not his personal preferences.

(2) Unlike many other lists, the objective of the forecast is not to include every show or person that is eligible for Emmys recognition, only the top tier of contenders.

(3) Nobody can watch every Emmy-eligible show, and Scott is no exception. He arrives at these projections by at least sampling as many contenders as possible, consulting with TV Academy members, reading reviews, analyzing awards campaigns and referencing the results of other award shows, as well as the historical preferences of the TV Academy.

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(4) Under program categories, you can now find listed each program’s season that is eligible, its platform, release date (of the first episode of the eligible season) and Rotten Tomatoes scores (the first from critics, the second from audiences). We also note if the TV Academy has recognized prior seasons of the program in that category with a nomination (*) or award (^).

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(5) The forecast will be updated regularly to reflect new developments. We encourage you to bookmark and return to this URL to find the latest update. (Older versions will be preserved and linked to at the bottom.)

*BEST DRAMA SERIES*

The Crown

Frontrunners
The Crown, season 6 (Netflix, 11/16/23, 55 percent/84 percent)***^*
The Morning Show, season 3 (Apple, 9/13/23, 72 percent/11 percent)
Loki, season 2 (Disney+, 10/5/23, 82 percent/82 percent)
Mr. and Mrs. Smith, season 1 (Amazon, 2/2/24, 90 percent/66 percent)
Slow Horses, season 3 (Apple, 11/29/23, 98 percent/95 percent)
The Gilded Age, season 2 (HBO/Max, 10/29/23, 93 percent/60 percent)
Tokyo Vice, season 2 (HBO/Max, 2/8/24, 92 percent/92 percent)
3 Body Problem, season 1 (Netflix, 3/21/24, 77 percent/80 percent)

Major Threats
The Curse, season 1 (Showtime, 11/12/23, 94 percent/42 percent)
Ahsoka, season 1 (Disney+, 8/22/23, 86 percent/69 percent)
Elsbeth, season 1 (CBS, 2/29/24, 91 percent/86 percent)
Fallout, season 1 (Amazon, 4/12/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Possibilities
Hijack, season 1 (Apple, 6/28/23, 88 percent/50 percent)
Monarch: Legacy of Monsters, season 1 (Apple, 11/17/24, 89 percent/78 percent)
Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, season 2 (HBO/Max, 8/6/23, 82 percent/35 percent)
Sugar, season 1 (Apple, 4/5/24, 81 percent/60 percent)

*BEST COMEDY SERIES*

The Bear Courtesy of FX

Frontrunners
The Bear, season 2 (FX, 6/22/23, 99 percent/93 percent)^
Hacks, season 3 (HBO/Max, 5/2/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)**
Abbott Elementary, season 3 (ABC, 2/7/24, 100 percent/68 percent)**
Only Murders in the Building, season 3 (Hulu, 8/8/23, 96 percent/87 percent)**
Curb Your Enthusiasm, season 12 (HBO/Max, 2/4/24, 92 percent/69 percent)**********
What We Do in the Shadows, season 5 (FX, 7/13/23, 95 percent/89 percent)**
The Gentlemen
, season 1 (Netflix, 3/7/24, 72 percent/86 percent)
Palm Royale, season 1 (Apple, 3/20/24, 52 percent/74 percent)

Major Threats
Reservation Dogs, season 3 (FX, 8/2/23, 100 percent/91 percent)
Loot, season 2 (Apple, 4/3/24, 83 percent/TBD percent)
I’m a Virgo, season 1 (Amazon, 6/23/23, 96 percent/80 percent)
The Righteous Gemstones, season 3 (HBO/Max, 6/18/23, 100 percent/88 percent)
Bookie, season 1 (HBO/Max, 11/30/23, 90 percent/82 percent)

Possibilities
Ghosts, season 3 (CBS, 2/15/24, 100 percent/TBD percent)
Girls5eva, season 3 (Netflix, 3/14/24, 100 percent/92 percent)
Julia, season 2 (HBO/Max, 11/16/23, 100 percent /86 percent)
Gen V, season 1 (Amazon, 9/29/23, 97 percent/77 percent)

*BEST LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES*

Shōgun FX

Frontrunners
Shōgun (FX, 2/27/24, 99 percent/92 percent)
Lessons in Chemistry (Apple, 10/13/23, 86 percent/80 percent)
Fargo (FX, 11/21/23, 92 percent/90 percent)^**
True Detective: Night Country (HBO/Max, 1/14/24, 92 percent/56 percent)*
Ripley (Netflix, 4/4/24, 86 percent/82 percent)

Major Threats
Masters of the Air (Apple, 1/26/24, 85 percent/70 percent)
Fellow Travelers (Showtime, 10/29/23, 91 percent/91 percent)
A Murder at the End of the World (FX, 11/14/23, 88 percent/89 percent)
Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX, 1/31/24, 77 percent/67 percent)*
The Sympathizer (HBO/Max, 4/14/24, TDB percent/TBD percent)
A Gentleman in Moscow (Showtime, 3/29/24, 93 percent/78 percent)
Lawmen: Bass Reeves (Paramount+, 11/5/23, 81 percent/93 percent)
Griselda (Netflix, 1/25/24, 87 percent/71 percent)
Genius: MLK/X (Nat Geo, 2/5/24, 75 percent/80 percent)
We Were the Lucky Ones (Hulu, 3/28/24, 95 percent/85 percent)

Possibilities
Expats (Amazon, 1/26, 84 percent/50 percent)
Franklin (Apple, 4/12/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Mary & George (Starz, 4/5/24, 97 percent/73 percent)
American Horror Story: Delicate (FX, 9/20/23, 77 percent/70 percent)
The Regime (HBO/Max, 3/3/24, 58 percent/57 percent)
Monsieur Spade (AMC, 1/14/24, 77 percent/73 percent)
Black Mirror (Netflix, 6/15/23, 78 percent/44 percent)
Under the Bridge (Hulu, 4/17/24, TDB percent/TBD percent)
The Veil (Hulu, 4/30/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Apples Never Fall (Peacock, 3/14/24, 46 percent/43 percent)

*BEST TV MOVIE*

Scoop Peter Mountain/Netflix

Frontrunners
Scoop (Netflix, 4/5/24, 78 percent/62 percent)
Mr. Monk’s Last Case (Peacock, 12/8/23, 95 percent/80 percent)
The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial (Showtime, 10/6/23, 94 percent/77 percent)
Red, White and Royal Blue (Amazon, 8/11/23, 76 percent/93 percent)
Quiz Lady (Hulu, 11/3/23, 81 percent/81 percent)

Major Threats
Música (Amazon, 4/4/24, 95 percent/90 percent)
Totally Killer (Amazon, 10/6/23, 87 percent/77 percent)
No One Will Save You (Hulu, 9/22/23, 82 percent/56 percent)

Possibilities
Upgraded (Amazon, 2/9/24, 77 percent/68 percent)
Self Reliance (Hulu, 1/12/24, 72 percent/62 percent)
Ricky Stanicky (Amazon/MGM, 3/7/24, 47 percent/74 percent)

*BEST VARIETY TALK SERIES*

The Daily Show Courtesy of Comedy Central’s “The Daily Show”

Frontrunners
The Daily Show (Comedy Central)
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS) — podcast [Stephen Colbert]
Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC) — podcast [Jimmy Kimmel]
Late Night With Seth Meyers (NBC) — podcast [Seth Meyers]
Real Time With Bill Maher (HBO/Max) — podcast [Bill Maher]

Major Threats
The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon (NBC) — podcast [Jimmy Fallon]
The Amber Ruffin Show (Peacock)

Possibilities
Watch What Happens Live (Bravo) — podcast [Andy Cohen]

*BEST SCRIPTED VARIETY SERIES*

Last Week Tonight with John Oliver Courtesy of HBO

Frontrunners
Last Week Tonight With John Oliver (HBO/Max)
Saturday Night Live (NBC)

Major Threats
John Mulaney Presents: Everybody’s in LA (Netflix) — podcast (John Mulaney)
After Midnight (CBS)

Possibilities
Painting With John (HBO/Max)

*BEST VARIETY SPECIAL (PRE-RECORDED)*

Hannah Waddingham: Home for Christmas Courtesy of Apple TV+

Frontrunners
Hannah Waddingham: Home for Christmas (Apple, 11/22/23, 100 percent/91 percent)
Dave Chappelle: The Dreamer (Netflix, 12/31/23, 20 percent/83 percent)
Dick Van Dyke 98 Years of Magic (CBS, 12/21/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
A Grammy Salute to 50 Years of Hip Hop (CBS, 12/10/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Trevor Noah: Where Was I (Netflix, 12/19/23, TBD percent/46 percent) — podcast (Trevor Noah)

Major Threats
Library of Congress Gershwin Prize for Popular Song: Elton John & Bernie Taupin (PBS, 4/8/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Elton John)
Jennifer Lopez: This Is Me… Now: A Love Story (Amazon, 2/16/24, 75 percent/76 percent) — podcast (Jennifer Lopez)
The 46th Kennedy Center Honors (CBS, 12/27/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Alex Edelman: Just for Us (HBO/Max, 4/6/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Ricky Gervais: Armageddon (Netflix, 12/25/23, 50 percent/63 percent) — podcast (Ricky Gervais)
Kevin Hart: Reality Check (Peacock, 7/6/23, TBD percent/78 percent) — podcast (Kevin Hart)
Ramy Youssef: More Feelings (HBO/Max, 3/23/24, 100 percent/100 percent) — podcast (Ramy Youssef)
Taylor Mac’s 24Decade History of Popular Music (HBO/Max, 6/27/23, 100 percent/62 percent)
Mike Birbiglia: The Old Man and the Pool (Netflix, 11/21/23, 100 percent/89 percent)
Barry Manilow’s A Very Barry Christmas (NBC, 12/8/23, TBD percent/67 percent)
Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die (HBO/Max, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Possibilities
Jacqueline Novak: Get on Your Knees (Netflix, 1/23/24, TBD percent/81 percent)
Taylor Tomlinson: Have It All (Netflix, 2/13/24, TBD percent/78 percent)
2023 Rock & Roll Hall of Fame Induction Ceremony (Disney+, 11/3/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
iHeartRadio Jingle Ball 2023 (ABC, 12/21/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Jim Gaffigan: Dark Pale (Amazon, 7/25/23, TBD percent/37 percent)
Pete Davidson: Turbo Fonzarelli (Netflix, 1/9/24, TBD percent/58 percent)
John Early: Now More Than Ever (HBO/Max, 6/17/23, 100 percent/74 percent)
Tracy Morgan: Takin’ It Too Far (HBO/Max, 8/17/23, TBD percent/73 percent) — podcast (Tracy Morgan)
Jenny Slate: Seasoned Professional (Amazon, 2/23/24, TBD percent/61 percent)
Tig Notaro: Hello Again (Amazon, 3/6/24, TBD percent/61 percent)
Hannah Gadsby: Gender Agenda (Netflix, 3/5/24, TBD percent/42 percent) — podcast (Hannah Gadsby)
Kevin James: Irregardless (Amazon, 1/23/24, TBD percent/54 percent)

*BEST VARIETY SPECIAL (LIVE)*

The Oscars Frank Micelotta/Disney via Getty Images

Frontrunners
The Oscars (ABC, 3/10/24, 83 percent/86 percent) — podcast (Jimmy Kimmel)
The Apple Music Super Bowl LVIII Halftime Show Starring Usher (CBS, 2/11/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
The 66th Annual Grammy Awards (CBS, 2/4/24, 60 percent/33 percent) — podcast (Trevor Noah & Ben Winston)
The 76th Tony Awards (CBS, 6/11/23, TBD percent/TBD percent)
G.R.O.A.T. The Greatest Roast Of All Time: Tom Brady (Netflix, 5/5/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
Apple Music Live: Jennifer Lopez (Apple, 2/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Jennifer Lopez)
Dick Clark’s New Year’s Rockin’ Eve with Ryan Seacrest (ABC, 12/31/23, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Ryan Seacrest)

Possibilities
The 57th Annual Country Music Association Awards (11/8/23, ABC, TBD percent/TBD percent)
SAG Awards (Netflix, 2/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
The 81st Golden Globe Awards (CBS, 1/7/24, 8 percent/10 percent)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SERIES*

Quiet on the Set: The Dark Side of Kids TV Investigation Discovery

Frontrunners
Quiet on the Set: The Dark Side of Kids TV (ID, 3/17/24, 100 percent/81 percent)
The Jinx — Part 2 (HBO/Max, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Beckham (Netflix, 10/4/23, 88 percent/95 percent)
The Super Models (Apple, 9/20/23, 83 percent/74 percent) — podcast (Roger Ross Williams)
Our Planet II (Netflix, 6/14/23, 100 percent/86 percent)^

Major Threats
The Dynasty: New England Patriots (Apple, 2/16/24, 100 percent/50 percent)
Secrets of the Octopus (Nat Geo, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Planet Earth III (BBC America, 11/4/23, 100 percent/95 percent)
American Masters (PBS, 1/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Queens (Nat Geo, 3/4/24, 80 percent/TBD percent)
Telemarketers (HBO/Max, 8/13/23, 96 percent/94 percent)
Last Call: When a Serial Killer Stalked Queer New York (HBO/Max, 7/9/23, 100 percent/85 percent)
Escaping Twin Flames (Netflix, 11/8/23, 100 percent/76 percent)
Love Has Won: The Cult of Mother God (HBO/Max, 11/13/23, 100 percent/67 percent)
Murder in Boston: Roots, Rampage & Reckoning (HBO/Max, 12/4/23, 100 percent/91 percent)

Possibilities
Predator v Prey (BBC America, 4/20/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Arnold (Netflix, 6/7/23, 70 percent/93 percent)
American Nightmare (Netflix, 1/17/24, 96 percent/87 percent)
Shiny Happy People: Duggar Family Secrets (Amazon, 6/2/23, 100 percent/81 percent)
God Save Texas (HBO/Max, 2/27/24, 100 percent/TBD percent)
American Conspiracy: The Octopus Murders (Netflix, 2/28/24, 83 percent/50 percent)
Deadlocked: How America Shaped the Supreme Court (Showtime, 9/22/23, 100 percent/TBD percent)
STAX: Soulsville, USA (HBO/Max, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Space Shuttle Columbia: The Final Flight (CNN, 4/7/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Thank You, Goodnight: The Bon Jovi Story (Hulu, 4/26/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Black Twitter: A People’s History (Hulu, 5/9/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

*BEST DOCUMENTARY OR NONFICTION SPECIAL*

The Greatest Night in Pop Courtesy of Netflix

Frontrunners
The Greatest Night in Pop (Netflix, 1/29/24, 98 percent/89 percent)
STEVE! (martin) a documentary in 2 pieces (Apple, 3/29/24, 91 percent/92 percent)
[Jim Henson Doc — Title TBA] (Disney+, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
Albert Brooks: Defending My Life (HBO/Max, 11/11/23, 97 percent/91 percent) — podcast (Rob Reiner)
Girls State (Apple, 4/5/24, 95 percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
Rock Hudson: All That Heaven Allowed (HBO/Max, 6/28/23, 91 percent/74 percent)
In Restless Dreams: The Music of Paul Simon (MGM+, 3/17/24, 94 percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Alex Gibney)
The Beach Boys (Disney+, 5/24/24, TBD percent/TBD percent) — podcast (Frank Marshall)
Goliath (Showtime, 7/16/23, 100 percent/100 percent)
Wham! (Netflix, 7/5/23, 89 percent/88 percent)
Sly (Netflix, 11/3/23, 81 percent/87 percent)
No Ordinary Campaign (Amazon, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)
The Bloody Hundredth (Apple, 3/15/24, TDB percent/93 percent)

Possibilities
Beyond the Aggressives: 25 Years Later (Showtime, 3/30/24, 100 percent/82 percent)
Kevin Hart & Chris Rock: Headliners Only (Netflix, 12/12/23, TBD percent/73 percent) — podcast (Kevin Hart)
As We Speak: Rap Music on Trial (Paramount+, 2/27/24, 87 percent/73 percent)
Lil Nas X: Long Live Montero (HBO/Max, 1/27/24, 69 percent/71 percent)
Spermworld (FX, 3/30/24, TDB percent/100 percent)
aka Mr. Chow (HBO/Max, 10/22/23, TBD percent/71 percent)
You Were My First Boyfriend (HBO/Max, 11/8/23, 100 percent/67 percent)

*EXCEPTIONAL MERIT*

Stamped From the Beginning Courtesy of TIFF

Frontrunners
Stamped from the Beginning (Netflix, 11/20/23, 100 percent/65 percent)
Going to Mars: The Nikki Giovanni Project (HBO/Max, 1/8/24, 97 percent/86 percent)
The Blue Angels (Amazon, TBD, TBD percent/TBD percent)

Major Threats
The Pigeon Tunnel (Apple, 10/20/23, 96 percent/68 percent)

Possibilities
Immediate Family (Magnolia, 12/15/23, 100 percent/92 percent)
Blue Carbon: Nature’s Hidden Power (CNN, 4/21/24, TBD percent/TBD percent)

*BEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Dominic West in The Crown Everett Collection

Frontrunners
Dominic West (The Crown, Netflix)
Gary Oldman (Slow Horses, Apple)
Tom Hiddleston (Loki, Disney+) — podcast
Donald Glover (Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Idris Elba (Hijack, Apple) — podcast
Colin Farrell (Sugar, Apple) — podcast

Major Threats
Morgan Spector (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Ansel Elgort (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Nathan Fielder (The Curse, Showtime)
Walton Goggins (Fallout, Amazon)
Timothy Olyphant (Justified: City Primeval, FX)

Possibilities
Paul Giamatti (Billions, Showtime) — podcast
John C. Reilly (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Quincy Isaiah (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Adrien Brody (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
LaKeith Stanfield (The Changeling, Apple)

*BEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Imelda Staunton in The Crown Courtesy of Netflix

Frontrunners
Imelda Staunton (The Crown, Netflix)
Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show, Apple)*
Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show, Apple)* — podcast
Maya Erskine (Mr. and Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Emma Stone (The Curse, Showtime) — podcast
Carrie Coon (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Carrie Preston (Elsbeth, CBS)
Jess Hong (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
Juliette Binoche (The New Look, Apple)
Rebecca Ferguson (Silo, Apple)
Rosario Dawson (Ahsoka, Disney+)
Rachel Keller (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Ella Purnell (Fallout, Amazon)
Noomi Rapace (Constellation, Apple TV+)
Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (Justified: City Primeval, FX) — podcast
Sinclair Daniel (The Other Black Girl, Hulu)
Mariska Hargitay (Law and Order: SVU, NBC)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Billy Crudup in The Morning Show Everett

Frontrunners
Billy Crudup (The Morning Show, Apple)^*
Jonathan Pryce (The Crown, Netflix) — podcast
Khalid Abdalla (The Crown, Netflix)
Mark Duplass (The Morning Show, Apple)*
Nathan Lane (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Ke Huy Quan (Loki, Disney+) — podcast
Benny Safdie (The Curse, Showtime)
Benedict Wong (3 Body Problem, Netflix)

Major Threats
Liam Cunningham (3 Body Problem, Netflix)
Jack Lowden (Slow Horses, Apple)
Shô Kasamatsu (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
John Douglas Thompson (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Owen Wilson (Loki, Disney+)
Wendell Pierce (Elsbeth, CBS)
Ken Watanabe (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Hayden Christensen (Ahsoka, Disney+)
Jon Hamm (The Morning Show, Apple)
David Oyelowo (Silo, Apple) — podcast
Tim Robbins (Silo, Apple)
James Cromwell (Sugar, Apple)
Aaron Moten (Fallout, Amazon)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Elizabeth Debicki in The Crown Netflix

Frontrunners
Elizabeth Debicki (The Crown, Netflix)*
Lesley Manville (The Crown, Netflix)
Greta Lee (The Morning Show, Apple)
Nicole Beharie (The Morning Show, Apple)
Holland Taylor (The Morning Show, Apple)
Julianna Margulies (The Morning Show, Apple)
Olivia Williams (The Crown, Netflix)
Christine Baranski (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Cynthia Nixon (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Denée Benton (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Audra McDonald (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Karen Pittman (The Morning Show, Apple)
Kristin Scott Thomas (Slow Horses, Apple)

Possibilities
Rinko Kikuchi (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Amy Ryan (Sugar, Apple)
Anna Gunn (Sugar, Apple)
Mary Elizabeth Winstead (Ahsoka, Disney+)
Natasha Liu Bordizzo (Ahsoka, Disney+)

*BEST GUEST ACTOR IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Rob Morgan in Winning Time Warrick Page/HBO

Frontrunners
Rob Morgan (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Tracy Letts (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Michael Braugher (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Darren Goldstein (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Danny Burstein (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
John Turturro (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon) — podcast
Wagner Moura (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
John Goodman (Monarch: Legacy of Monsters, Apple)

Possibilities
Michael Emerson (Fallout, Amazon)
Kyle MacLachlan (Fallout, Amazon)
Jonathan Pryce (Slow Horses, Apple)
Will Patton (Silo, Apple)

*BEST GUEST ACTRESS IN A DRAMA SERIES*

Olivia Colman (left) and Claire Foy (right) in The Crown Courtesy of Netflix

Frontrunners
Claire Foy (The Crown, Netflix)
Olivia Colman (The Crown, Netflix)
Glenn Close (The New Look, Apple)
LisaGay Hamilton (Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty, HBO/Max)
Laura Benanti (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)
Melanie Nicholls-King (The Gilded Age, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Jessica Hecht (Tokyo Vice, HBO/Max)
Parker Posey (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)
Sarah Paulson (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon) — podcast
Dale Dickey (Fallout, Amazon)

Possibilities
Natalie Morales (The Morning Show, Apple)
Marcia Gay Harden (The Morning Show, Apple)
Rashida Jones (Silo, Apple)
Beverly Glover (Mr. & Mrs. Smith, Amazon)

*BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Jeremy Allen White in The Bear Everett Collection

Frontrunners
Jeremy Allen White (The Bear, FX)^
Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)** — podcast
Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)*
Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)******
Theo James (The Gentlemen, Netflix)

Major Threats
Danny McBride (The Righteous Gemstones, HBO/Max)
Jharrel Jerome (I’m a Virgo, Amazon)
Kayvan Novak (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Matt Berry (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)

Possibilities
Kelsey Grammer (Frasier, Paramount+)
D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Chris Messina (Based on a True Story, Peacock)
Utkarsh Ambudkar (Ghosts, CBS)

*BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Ayo Edebiri in The Bear Courtesy of FX

Frontrunners
Ayo Edebiri (The Bear, FX)^
Jean Smart (Hacks, HBO/Max)^^
Quinta Brunson (Abbott Elementary, ABC)*^ — podcast
Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Kristen Wiig (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast

Major Threats
Maya Rudolph (Loot, Apple)
Devery Jacobs (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Natasha Demetriou (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Renee Elise Goldsberry (Girls5eva, Netflix)
Sara Bareilles (Girls5eva, Netflix)

Possibilities
Sarah Lancashire (Julia, HBO/Max)
Kaley Cuoco (Based on a True Story, Peacock) — podcast
Amy Schumer (Life & Beth, Hulu) — podcast
Rose McIver (Ghosts, CBS)
Edi Patterson (The Righteous Gemstones, HBO/Max)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Ebon Moss-Bachrach in The Bear Chuck Hodes/FX

Frontrunners
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (The Bear, FX)^
Tyler James Williams (Abbott Elementary, ABC)**
Paul Rudd (Only Murders in the Buildings, Hulu)
Paul W. Downs (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Oliver Platt (The Bear, FX)*
Lionel Boyce (The Bear, FX)
Matty Matheson (The Bear, FX)

Major Threats
Carl Clemons-Hopkins (Hacks, HBO/Max)*
Chris Perfetti (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Daniel Ings (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Giancarlo Esposito (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Vinnie Jones (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Bowen Yang (Saturday Night Live, NBC)**
Kenan Thompson (Saturday Night Live, NBC)*** — podcast

Possibilities
Joel Kim Booster (Loot, Apple)
J.B. Smoove (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Richard Lewis (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Harvey Guillen (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
Mark Proksch (What We Do in the Shadows, FX)
William Stanford Davis (Abbott Elementary, ABC)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Meryl Streep in Only Murders in the Building Patrick Harbron/Hulu

Frontrunners
Meryl Streep (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Hannah Einbinder (Hacks, HBO/Max)**
Sheryl Lee Ralph (Abbott Elementary, ABC)^* — podcast
Janelle James (Abbott Elementary, ABC)**
Abby Elliott (The Bear, FX)
Liza Colon-Zayas (The Bear, FX)
Molly Gordon (The Bear, FX)

Major Threats
Allison Janney (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast
Carol Burnett (Palm Royale, Apple) — podcast
Laura Dern (Palm Royale, Apple)
Meg Stalter (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Lisa Ann Walter (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Carmen Ejogo (I’m a Virgo, Amazon)
Judith Light (Julia, HBO/Max)

Possiblities
Kaya Scodelario (The Gentlemen, Netflix)
Susie Essman (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Tracey Ullman (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Paulina Alexis (Reservation Dogs, FX)
Michaela Jaé Rodriguez (Loot, Apple)
Ego Nwodim (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Chloe Fineman (Saturday Night Live, NBC)

*BEST GUEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Jerry Seinfeld in Curb Your Enthusiasm John Johnson/HBO

Frontrunners
Jerry Seinfeld (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Vince Vaughn (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Jon Bernthal (The Bear, FX)*
Sean Hayes (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Christopher Lloyd (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Christopher McDonald (Hacks, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
John Mulaney (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Bob Odenkirk (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Ethan Hawke (Reservation Dogs, FX) — podcast
Timothée Chalamet (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Matthew Broderick (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
James Caverly (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Mel Brooks (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Bradley Cooper (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Keegan-Michael Key (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Tony Goldwyn (Hacks, HBO/Max) — podcast
Bruce Dern (Palm Royale, Apple)

Possibilities
Adam Driver (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Jacob Elordi (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Ted Danson (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max) — podcast
Greg Kinnear (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Josh Brolin (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Tim Bagley (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Hal Linden (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Adam Scott (Loot, Apple)
Benjamin Bratt (Loot, Apple)
Zack Fox (Abbott Elementary, ABC)
Nick Offerman (The Conners, ABC)
Kevin Kane (Life & Beth, Hulu)

*BEST GUEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY SERIES*

Jamie Lee Curtis in The Bear Chuck Hodes/FX

Frontrunners
Jamie Lee Curtis (The Bear, FX)
Kristen Wiig (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Kate McKinnon (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Olivia Colman (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Allison Janney (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO) — podcast
Kaitlin Olson (Hacks, HBO/Max)

Major Threats
Sydney Sweeney (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Da’Vine Joy Randolph (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Jane Lynch (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Emma Stone (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
Gillian Jacobs (The Bear, FX)
Sarah Paulson (The Bear, FX) — podcast
Dakota Johnson (Saturday Night Live, NBC) — podcast
J. Smith-Cameron (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Ayo Edebiri (Saturday Night Live, NBC)
Andrea Martin (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast

Possibilities
Tina Fey (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu) — podcast
Sienna Miller (Curb Your Enthusiasm, HBO/Max)
Helen Hunt (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Christina Hendricks (Hacks, HBO/Max) — podcast
Jane Adams (Hacks, HBO/Max)
Ana Gasteyer (Loot, Apple)
Jackie Hoffman (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)
Amy Sedaris (Life & Beth, Hulu)
Whitney Cummings (Physical, Apple)
Jayne Houdyshell (Only Murders in the Building, Hulu)

*BEST ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A TV MOVIE*

Tom Hollander in Feud: Capote vs. the Swans Courtesy of Pari Dukovic/FX

Frontrunners
Tom Hollander (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Jon Hamm (Fargo, FX)
Matt Bomer (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)
Andrew Scott (Ripley, Netflix)
Hiroyuki Sanada (Shōgun, FX)
Cosmo Jarvis (Shōgun, FX)

Major Threats
David Oyelowo (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+) — podcast
Michael Douglas (Franklin, Apple) — podcast
Tony Shalhoub (Mr. Monk’s Last Case, Peacock) — podcast
Austin Butler (Masters of the Air, Apple) — podcast
Callum Turner (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Kiefer Sutherland (The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial, Showtime)
Hoa Xuande (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max)

Possibilities
Ewan McGregor (A Gentleman in Moscow, Paramount+)
Aaron Pierre (Genius: MLX/X, Nat Geo)
Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Genius: MLK/X, Nat Geo)
Nicholas Galitzine (Mary & George, Starz)
Matthias Schoenaerts (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Aaron Paul (Black Mirror, Netflix)
Clive Owen (Monsieur Spade, AMC)
Bill Pullman (Murdaugh Murders: The Movie, Lifetime)

*BEST ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A TV MOVIE*

Brie Larson in Lessons in Chemistry Courtesy of Apple TV+

Frontrunners
Brie Larson (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple) — podcast
Juno Temple (Fargo, FX)
Sofia Vergara (Griselda, Netflix)
Jodie Foster (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max) — podcast
Naomi Watts (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Anna Sawai (Shōgun, FX)

Major Threats
Kate Winslet (The Regime, HBO/Max) — podcast 1 and 2
Emma Corrin (A Murder at the End of the World, FX)
Julianne Moore (Mary & George, Starz) — podcast
Nicole Kidman (Expats, Amazon) — podcast
Ji-young Yoo (Expats, Amazon)
Elisabeth Moss (The Veil, Hulu) — podcast
Annette Bening (Apples Never Fall, Peacock) — podcast

Possibilities
Billie Piper (Scoop, Netflix)
Carla Gugino (Fall of the House of Usher, Netflix)
Joey King (We Were the Lucky Ones, Hulu)
Annie Murphy (Black Mirror, Netflix)
Mary Elizabeth Winstead (A Gentleman in Moscow, Showtime)
Awkwafina (Quiz Lady, Hulu) — podcast
Sandra Oh (Quiz Lady, Hulu) — podcast
Aria Mia Loberti (All the Light We Cannot See, Netflix)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A TV MOVIE*

Robert Downey Jr. in The Sympathizer HBO/Hopper Stone

Frontrunners
Robert Downey Jr. (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max)
Lewis Pullman (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple)
Jonathan Bailey (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)
Barry Keoghan (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Anthony Boyle (Masters of the Air, Apple)
Tadanobu Asano (Shōgun, FX)
Ron Cephas Jones (Genius: MLK/X, Nat Geo)

Major Threats
Rufus Sewell (Scoop, Netflix)
Hugh Grant (The Regime, HBO/Max) — podcast
Joe Keery (Fargo, FX)
John Hawkes (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Joe Mantello (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX) — podcast
Russell Tovey (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Treat Williams (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Sam Spruell (Fargo, FX)
Lamorne Morris (Fargo, FX)
Johnny Flynn (Ripley, Netflix)
John Malkovich (Ripley, Netflix)

Possibilities
Dennis Quaid (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Harris Dickinson (A Murder at the End of the World, FX)
Jack Huston (Expats, Amazon)
Brian Tee (Expats, Amazon)
Donald Sutherland (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Barry Pepper (Lawmen: Bass Reeves, Paramount+)
Josh Hartnett (Black Mirror)
Josh Charles (The Veil, Hulu)
Noah J. Ricketts (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)
Jelani Alladin (Fellow Travelers, Showtime)

*BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES OR A TV MOVIE*

Aja Naomi King in Lessons in Chemistry Apple TV+ /Courtesy Everett Collection

Frontrunners
Aja Naomi King (Lessons in Chemistry, Apple)
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Fargo, FX) — podcast
Kali Reis (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Fiona Shaw (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Calista Flockhart (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Diane Lane (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Gillian Anderson (Scoop, Netflix) — podcast

Major Threats
Chloe Sevigny (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Demi Moore (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Molly Ringwald (Feud: Capote vs. the Swans, FX)
Sandra Oh (The Sympathizer, HBO/Max) — podcast
Allison Williams (Fellow Travelers, Showtime) — podcast
Dakota Fanning (Ripley, Netflix)
Isabella Star LeBlanc (True Detective: Night Country, HBO/Max)
Lily Gladstone (Under the Bridge, Hulu) — podcast
Riley Keough (Under the Bridge, Hulu)

Possibilities
Andrea Riseborough (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Martha Plimpton (The Regime, HBO/Max)
Keely Hawes (Scoop, Netflix)
Salma Hayek (Black Mirror)
Kate Mara (Black Mirror)
Sarayu Blue (Expats, Amazon)
Ruby Ruiz (Expats, Amazon)
Richa Moorjani (Fargo, FX)